This weekend’s UFC Fight Night will feature Alexa Grasso seeking to extend her three-fight winning run. Viviane Araujo is her opponent, but our UFC betting predictions feel Grasso will get her hand raised by the conclusion.
On Saturday, October 15, the main event of UFC Fight Night is Alexa Grasso vs. Viviane Araujo.
Even while the bout doesn’t sound like much of a headliner, Grasso, who is currently on a three-fight winning streak, may use it as a stepping stone to a crack at the women’s flyweight title.
Grasso was listed as the -170 favorite in UFC odds when the bout began, but bets have since shifted to the younger fighter, who is currently priced at -215.
Here are my top free choices and predictions for UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo on October 15 at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Method of win odds between Viviane Araujo and Alexa Grasso
|Method of Victory||Alexa Grasso||Viviane Araujo|
|To win by KO/TKO||+380||+1,100|
|To win by Points||+125||+280|
|To win by Submission||+900||+1,600|
OKBET Sportsbook provided the odds on October 12, 2022.
Picks for Alexa Grasso vs Viviane Araujo
- Prediction | Grasso ML -215
- Best bet | Grasso by decision +125
Betting preview for Alexa Grasso vs Viviane Araujo
The No. 5 rated flyweight contender, Alexa Grasso, has won three straight matches since stepping up to the 125-pound weight class. In her most recent fight, Joanne Wood was submitted in the first round via a rear-naked choke in March.
In her first finish in nine UFC fights, Grasso demonstrated better grappling in her remarkable victory. The 29-year-old is more recognized for her boxing, where she has fast hands and good technical striking abilities.
The flyweight standings place Viviane Araujo one slot below Grasso, and she recently defeated Andrea Lee by unanimous decision.
That enabled her to recover from a decision defeat to Katlyn Chookagian last year, who outpointed her at range using her usual long-distance striking.
Araujo, who formerly held the Pancrase strawweight championship, has gone 5-2 since making her professional ring debut in 2019. The Brazilian fighter, 35, is a well-rounded competitor who feels at home on the ground as well as on her feet, where she averages 4.76 meaningful strikes per minute.
Tale of the tape for Viviane Araujo vs Alexa Grasso
|Alexa Grasso||Viviane Araujo|
|125.5 lbs||Weight||125 lbs|
|66 inches||Reach||66 inches|
|17-3 (4 KOs)||Record||11-3 (3 KOs)|
Viviane Araujo vs Alexa Grasso Prediction and best wager for UFC
Our prediction, which shows who we are leaning toward to win this fight, was put together using the fighters’ analyses.
The wager we would place part of our money behind is the one we like the most for this matchup or the one where the most value is found.
Prediction | Grasso
Grasso’s ground game has vastly improved, and even when she is brought down, she does a fantastic job of getting back to her feet.
Araujo is a competent grappler with decent takedown abilities, but she isn’t exceptional enough to impose her will or control Grasso for extended periods of time. When she stands in the pocket, ready to fire her Muay Thai, she might be a bit hittable.
I expect Grasso’s quickness, smooth boxing, and consistent tempo to lead to a five-round victory over the veteran Araujo.
Prediction | Grasso moneyline -215 at OKBET
By decision, Grasso is the best bet
Grasso may have won in the first round, but it was her first stoppage win since 2014, when she competed in Invicta.
She will be unable to submit Araujo, who is a far greater grappler to Wood. While Grasso’s precise striking and volume should give her the advantage on the ground, I don’t see her knocking out Araujo.
Grasso will likely be careful in the striking exchanges as she attempts to defend level adjustments, especially given her lack of a single knockdown in the UFC. With seven of Grasso’s past eight victories coming by decision, support her to win again by points.
Pick | Grasso by decision +125 at OKBET