Askar Askarov and Brandon Royval square off at UFC Fight Night on Saturday, and both fighters need a victory to jumpstart their careers. Our UFC predictions explain why you should support the more methodical scrapper.
On the Saturday, October 16 UFC Fight Night program from Las Vegas, the flyweight division matchup between Askar Askarov and Brandon Royval is slated for three rounds.
Askarov is aiming to bounce back from a discouraging defeat, but he won’t have it easy since Royval, who is constantly thrilling, is just behind him in the flyweight ranks.
In this matchup of ground specialists, the Dagestani is favored to win at -240. At +200, Royval is a little underdog in the UFC odds but a live underdog.
With our Askarov vs. Royval predictions, find out who has the UFC betting advantage.
Odds for Askarov vs. Royval’s technique of winning
|Method of Victory||Askar Askarov||Brandon Royval|
|To win by KO/TKO||+600||+950|
|To win by Points||+135||+600|
|To win by Submission||+310||+550|
OKBET Sportsbook provided the odds on October 12, 2022.
Askarov vs Royval picks
- Prediction: Askarov moneyline | -240
- Best bet: Askarov by decision | +130
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Betting preview for Askarov vs. Royval
Askarov and Royval both seemed like they were going to make a lot of noise at one point in their careers. Recent setbacks have hurt these fighters’ long-term chances, so this fight is very important for them to keep getting UFC promotions. Even without the story, this fight is sneakily good and could be the best of the night.
Askarov just lost to Kai Kara-France, which was a surprise. Kai Kara-France, on the other hand, was beaten badly by Royval in the past. The Russian is very good at pacing himself, and he changes his style depending on the type of fight. However, he is at his best when he can get his wrestling going and work on the ground.
Offensively, the “Bullet” can do a little bit of everything. He lands 3.05 significant strikes per minute at 54% and is always trying to takedown his opponent, averaging 2.60 per 15 minutes. Askarov had won 11 of his fights before he joined the UFC in 2019, but his last four fights have gone the distance. Even though he beat the trial horses at flyweight, his best fights against the best in the division were a draw with Brandon Moreno and a loss to Kara-France.
High-octane boxer Royval is turning into a living highlight reel. Royval has competed in three “Fight of the Night” matchups since entering the organization in 2020, taking each one by submission. With a two-inch height advantage and an endless supply of energy, the southpaw may be a nightmare for those who are unprepared.
It shouldn’t be a surprise that Royval has great finishing ability in addition to his continual pressure. He has 14 victories and 12 finishes. He works hard on the ground looking for submissions. A trip to the mat with him may be disastrous given his stellar 100% takedown accuracy and average of 2.4 submission attempts every 15 minutes. Due to his propensity for takedowns, he unfortunately can’t defend against them, stuffing only 39% of attempts.
These two approaches resemble one another in a lot of ways. Askarov is a competent boxer who has good hand movement, but Royval’s Muay Thai training emphasizes hard blows. Both fighters are incredibly tough and will try their best to battle their way back up, but neither has demonstrated the ability to think on their feet when on the ground. All of this should lead to a fun altercation.
Askarov vs. Royval: the taped argument
|Askar Askarov||Brandon Royval|
|125 lbs||Weight||125 lbs|
|67 inches||Reach||68 inches|
|14-1-1 (4 KOs)||Record||14-6 (3 KOs)|
Prediction and best wager for Askarov vs. Royval in the UFC
Our prediction, which shows who we are leaning toward to win this fight, was put together using the fighters’ analyses.
The wager we would place part of our money behind is the one we like the most for this matchup or the one where the most value is found.
Prediction | Askarov moneyline
Despite the fact that Askarov didn’t help himself by losing to Kara-France, he still has a very high ceiling. Askarov just appeared out of sorts after nearly killing Kara-France in the first round. Any boxer can have a bad night. Askarov’s meticulous striking and wrestling style may be the ideal counterbalance to Royval’s high-risk approach to developing his attack.
Askarov has the advantage since he is the more steady operator and because Royval is practically unable to protect himself from takedowns. The chances are in Askarov’s favor since they believe he is technically sound enough to evade Royval’s accusations despite the fact that Royval is a wild man and may catch him with something sinister.
Anything might happen, but we feel confident choosing Askarov to recover from this setback. Royval won’t make it simple for him, but it should provide him the opportunity to show that he’s still on pace for a run at the title in the future.
Prediction | Askarov moneyline -240 at OKBET
Best bet | Askarov by decision
Askarov must be aware of Royval’s relentless submission attempts, which he may counter by utilizing his poor takedown defense and keeping ground control. Wit generally triumphs over tenacity, and Askarov should be able to open Royval up for those takedowns in the stand-up.
We don’t see a halt here. We’re going with Askarov reaching the distance and winning by decision at +130.
Pick | Askarov by decision +130 at OKBET