Jonathan Martinez will attempt to improve to 17-4 with a win against experienced featherweight Cub Swanson in Las Vegas on Saturday. Find out why we think he’ll win in our Swanson vs. Martinez OKBET betting predictions.
The co-main event of this weekend’s UFC Fight Night show at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas features Cub Swanson vs. Jonathan Martinez in the bantamweight category. The fight is set to last three rounds.
Swanson, a living icon, is moving down to bantamweight for the first time in his career, and Martinez, an opportunistic fighter, is eager to help push Swanson toward retirement. Martinez, who is a natural at the weight and is 10 years younger than Swanson, is a tempting favorite at -205 on the UFC betting lines. Swanson is the underdog at +175 to win the bout.
Here are my top free choices and predictions for Saturday, October 15’s Swanson vs. Martinez UFC fight.
Odds for the Swanson vs. Martinez Method of Victory
| Method of Victory | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| To win by KO/TKO | +500 | +260 |
| To win by Points | +460 | +155 |
| To win by Submission | +1,400 | +1,000 |
| Draw | +5,000 | +5,000 |
OKBET Sportsbook provided the odds on October 13, 2022.
Picks for Swanson vs Martinez picks
- Prediction | Martinez ML -205
- Best bet | Martinez by decision +140
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Betting preview for Swanson vs Martinez
Swanson, who is 38 years old and still competing at a high level, must defeat Martinez, who is ten years younger, in order to remain competitive. Martinez just needs to outperform him for one night to earn the biggest victory of his career, despite the fact that he is nowhere near the kind of opponents he has previously fought. Even though Swanson and Martinez are battling against the effects of aging, it may be easier said than done.
Swanson, who is hoping that lowering his weight so late in his career will provide him more opportunities, is not just the younger fighter but has also been competing at the weight for a longer period of time than Martinez. He has four victories in his previous five fights and is in excellent form.
The “Dragon” is quick and nimble, yet he is also actively engaged on offense. He kicks to manage the distance and averages 4.72 major strikes per minute with 48% accuracy. He has seven knockout finishes in his 16 victories, although he hasn’t stopped an opponent inside the distance since 2020. Martinez will likely have an edge due to his youth, but he suffers when his opponents are able to go inside and beat him up.
Swanson is attempting to win a few more matches before calling it a day, but it’s debatable if he’s setting himself up for failure by taking on a younger opponent in a smaller weight division. Swanson defeated Darren Elkins in a spectacular first-round knockout to bounce back from his crushing defeat to Giga Chikazde, but it doesn’t change the reality that time is no longer on his side.
Swanson has experienced more in his 40 fights than Martinez will ever know, and he will always be a dangerous striker. He has won 28 matches at featherweight throughout the course of his career, landing 4.66 major strikes per minute at 50%, 1.08 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 17 finishes.
He has a four-fight contract extension that begins with this fight and is expected to bring an end to his illustrious career. Later in their careers, older boxers seldom lose weight. Swanson may be the type of difficulty that a fairly inexperienced fighter like Martinez doesn’t need if he can comfortably reach the bantamweight limit and still has something left.
The oddsmakers believe that Swanson is likely past the point of no return and that Martinez is catching him just in time to add his legendary name to his list of victories.
Tale of the tape for Swanson vs Martinez
| Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Age | 28 |
| 5-foot-8 | Height | 5-foot-7 |
| 145 lbs | Weight | 135 lbs |
| 70 inches | Reach | 70 inches |
| 28-12 (13 KO) | Record | 16-4 (7 KO) |
Prediction and best bet for Swanson vs Martinez UFC
Our prediction, which shows who we think will win this fight, was put together after researching the competitors.
We would invest some of our money behind the play that we like the most for this fight or where the most value is seen as our best wager.
Prediction | Martinez ML
Swanson is an interesting underdog, but it’s difficult to select him since Martinez is a mobile fighter and he’s coming down in weight. Martinez is still getting used to the octagon, but he has demonstrated that he is growing and diversifying. Swanson may still be dangerous if he approaches from a direction that Martinez doesn’t anticipate, but he’ll want to test his gas tank first.
Swanson can still deliver, but at this point in his career, he won’t be nearly as explosive. Swanson’s movement may be restricted by Martinez, a southpaw with powerful kicks, as the veteran attempts to determine how his body will respond to his new environment.
Ultimately, Swanson’s future is written in stone. He has accumulated many kilometers throughout the course of his career and is 5-5 since 2017. Martinez is doing well, will be more powerful as he gains weight, and should be able to withstand whatever blows Swanson may manage to land on him.
Martinez is our choice to win the contest.
Prediction | Martinez moneyline -205 at OKBET
Martinez is our choice to win the contest
With Martinez proving to be too much for whatever Swanson has left, youth should be served here. Swanson could get him with a vicious shot at some point in the fight, but he can’t drop to bantamweight without his cardiovascular system suffering.
Expect Martinez to endure a few tense exchanges in the beginning of the fight until he finds his range and starts to distance himself with his rhythm and movement. Although he will be aware of the veteran’s superior hitting ability, he ought to do well enough to win this bout by decision.
OKBET best wager is Martinez to prevail based on the judges’ scores.
Pick | Martinez by decision +140 at OKBET
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